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By EconMatters
I expect the Euro to appreciate against the Dollar after the ECB Meeting, going into a tepid forecast for the US Employment Report on Friday. We look at some key technical levels in the Euro currency, and what levels to scrutinize in terms of potential break out trades.
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By EconMatters
On Friday Janet Yellen gave the go ahead to rate hikes, and this change in Monetary Policy (Tightening) in not currently priced into financial markets.
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By EconMatters
Central Banks Need to either go all the way with Policy Goals, or get out of financial asset purchases altogether. The current stop and start cycling sets the financial markets up for huge crash scenarios every ten years.
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By EconMatters
I have made some changes to my Trading Rig Configuration to account for more Natural Gas Trading, the US Dollar Index, the VIX and Bonds.
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By EconMatters
We review the relative short term performance of the USO ETF in tracking the Oil Futures market, and it fails miserably as a proxy for the oil market. The existence of these failed class of instruments is enabled by the reluctance of brokerages to offer futures contracts to their clients. How long has Fidelity had their customers investing…

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By EconMatters
A lot of analysts think that $50 a barrel oil is as good as it gets for 2016.  We think there is a substantial short squeeze coming in the oil market as we take out $54 a barrel over the coming months. We take a look at the EIA Weekly Petroleum Report in this video, and provide some…

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By EconMatters
This isn`t the first time Goldman Sachs has tried to hide behind the notion of a “Chinese Wall” in a defense against an apparent conflict of interests. It is theoretically possible that this analyst operated in a complete vacuum at Goldman Sachs, but how likely is this fact given how interconnected Investment Banking activities are these days? We…

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By EconMatters
The US sure is concerned about further BOJ intervention, the real question is why now? What is really going on behind the scenes? We delve into some of the possibilities that we think are at play here behind the scenes at the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury.
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By EconMatters
We delve into the implications of negative interest rates, and what they are really saying about the soundness of the financial system. In short we have too many rich people doing nothing productive with their wealth. I am the opposite of a redistributionist, and the unintended consequences would be off the charts, but it would be interesting to…

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By EconMatters
Kyle Bass focuses much of his commentary on what`s going on in China, and in actuality the Fed has been the biggest driver of price in this trade so far the past year.
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By EconMatters
The internals for the Weekly EIA Report were solid and we are raising our outlook for price accordingly when combined with the recent global supply disruptions in production.
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Today we get another glimpse into the behind-the-scenes machinations of the “data dependent” Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) with the release of the minutes from the April 26-27 meeting.
While the Fed has a dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability, lately there has been considerable discussion about the how much the Fed should let global considerations factor into …

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